Can you give me some examples of where you see "common sense" being wrong. I tend to think it's almost always right and when it isn't, it's an exception-proves-the-rule situation.
Where I see people often go wrong is when they say things like "my gut tells me he's a killer."
FWIW here's the link to the Silver piece he wrote after people st…
Can you give me some examples of where you see "common sense" being wrong. I tend to think it's almost always right and when it isn't, it's an exception-proves-the-rule situation.
Where I see people often go wrong is when they say things like "my gut tells me he's a killer."
FWIW here's the link to the Silver piece he wrote after people started demanding he do ridiculous things with data. It's not a perfect analogy to the pitbull podcast, but, in both cases, it's people (Katie and Silver's detractors) doing or demanding weird scientist things be done with data.
I have read the Gift of Fear and I absolutely support the message in it. Yes, when you are personally in a situation where timing is everything and being wrong would be catastrophic, trust your gut.
What I'm referring to here is people who I have never met or encountered someone saying their gut tells them the person is guilty. This is common in true crime forums and different from the scenarios described in the Gift of Fear.
Can you give me some examples of where you see "common sense" being wrong. I tend to think it's almost always right and when it isn't, it's an exception-proves-the-rule situation.
Where I see people often go wrong is when they say things like "my gut tells me he's a killer."
FWIW here's the link to the Silver piece he wrote after people started demanding he do ridiculous things with data. It's not a perfect analogy to the pitbull podcast, but, in both cases, it's people (Katie and Silver's detractors) doing or demanding weird scientist things be done with data.
'Where I see people often go wrong is when they say things like "my gut tells me he's a killer."'
I guess you haven't read The Gift of Fear.
I have read the Gift of Fear and I absolutely support the message in it. Yes, when you are personally in a situation where timing is everything and being wrong would be catastrophic, trust your gut.
What I'm referring to here is people who I have never met or encountered someone saying their gut tells them the person is guilty. This is common in true crime forums and different from the scenarios described in the Gift of Fear.
OK. I thought you meant in-person encounters.